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Ocean Temperature Variability during the Late Pleistocene

ScholarsArchive at Oregon State University

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Title Ocean Temperature Variability during the Late Pleistocene
Names Hoffman, Jeremy Scott (creator)
Clark, Peter (advisor)
Date Issued 2016-08-25 (iso8601)
Note Graduation date: 2017
Abstract This dissertation explores one overarching question relevant to the
paleoclimate of the latest Pleistocene glacial cycle (approximately the last
130,000 years): “How did spatial and temporal evolution of ocean
temperature, both at the surface and interior, relate to other parts of the
climate system in the late Pleistocene?” Results from three studies are
presented that seek to address longstanding questions in paleoceanography
and paleoclimatology for the late Pleistocene using a combination of novel
and accepted statistical and geochemical analysis techniques and leveraging
comparisons with available global climate model data.
The last interglaciation (LIG; ~129-116 ka) was the most recent period
in Earth’s history with higher-than-present global sea level (≥6-9 m) under
similar-to-preindustrial concentrations of atmospheric CO₂. This suggests that
additional feedbacks related to albedo, insolation, and ocean overturning
circulation may have resulted in the apparent warming required to cause the
higher sea level. Our understanding of how much warmer the LIG was relative
to the present interglaciation remains uncertain, however, with current
estimates suggesting that sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) were 0-2°C
warmer than late-20th century average global temperatures. We present a
global compilation of proxy-based annual SST spanning the LIG. Using Monte
Carlo and Bayesian techniques to propagate uncertainties in age-model and
proxy-based SST reconstructions, our results quantify the spatial timing,
amplitude, and uncertainty in global and regional SST change during the LIG.
Our conclusions suggest that the LIG surface ocean was indistinguishable
from the average surface ocean temperatures observed for the last two
decades (1995-2014). This may ultimately imply that the Earth is currently
committed to ≥6-9m of equilibrium sea-level rise.
Although the LIG is not an analogue for present and future climate
change due to the large differences in seasonal orbital insolation and absence
of anthropogenic greenhouse gas radiative forcing, it provides an opportunity
to test the ability of global climate models to simulate the mechanisms and
climate feedbacks responsible for the warmer climate and higher global mean
sea level during the LIG. However, when forced only by LIG greenhouse gas
concentrations and insolation changes, climate models suggest that the
annual mean temperature response was not significantly different from
preindustrial control simulations. We present the first multi-model and multiscenario
ensemble of transient and equilibrium global climate modeling
results spanning the LIG. We show, using a novel model-data comparison
framework, that these scenario-specific model results exhibit regionally
independent agreement with ocean basin-specific proxy-based SST stacks.
This result ultimately implies structural uncertainties and/or
misrepresentations of climate feedbacks in the existing suite of climate model
simulations, or underestimations of additional proxy-based SST uncertainties.
Our conclusions suggest a new target LIG time period for future model-data
comparisons and highlight the need for higher resolution transient climate
modeling of the LIG and its dependence on meltwater input to the high
latitude oceans during the preceding deglaciation.
Few discoveries have stimulated the paleoclimate community more so
than Heinrich events. Nevertheless, the cause of Heinrich events,
characterized by a large flux of icebergs sourced from the Hudson Strait Ice
Stream into the North Atlantic, remains debated. Commonly attributed to
internal ice-sheet instability, the occurrence of Heinrich events during the
coldest intervals of the last glacial cycle instead suggests an external climate
control. We expand on recent studies that have shown that incursions of
warm subsurface waters into the intermediate depth North Atlantic Ocean
destabilized an ice shelf fronting the Hudson Strait Ice Stream, causing a
Heinrich event. We present new surface- and bottom-water stable isotope,
trace metal, and sedimentary records from two cores taken along the
Labrador margin that further support subsurface warming as a trigger of
Hudson Strait Heinrich events. We further relate these changes to other
sediment core records from the North Atlantic and transient deglacial climate
modeling results to show that subsurface warming was ubiquitous across the
intermediate North Atlantic during the early part of the last deglaciation and
was most likely caused by a preceding reduction in the Atlantic Meridional
Overturning Circulation.
Genre Thesis/Dissertation
Access Condition http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/3.0/us/
Topic Climate
Identifier http://hdl.handle.net/1957/59877

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