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Source Parameter Scaling and the Cascadia Paleoseismic Record

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Title Source Parameter Scaling and the Cascadia Paleoseismic Record
Names Tréhu, Anne M. (creator)
Date Issued 2016-06 (iso8601)
Note This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the Seismological Society of America and can be found at: http://bssa.geoscienceworld.org/content/early/2016/05/20/0120150272
Abstract Several approaches to interpreting the Cascadia paleoseismic record are
used to derive relationships between fault area, slip, and moment and to compare the
results with the scaling relationships determined by Somerville et al. (2015) for recent
subduction-zone events. In two models (CA12a and CA12b), taken from Goldfinger
et al. (2012), paleoevents are classified into five characteristic areas (CA), with the slip
during each event estimated based on the time between the event and either the following
or the previous event. In model CA14, taken from Scholz (2014), slip on four
characteristic segments is determined from the plate tectonic convergence rate, assuming
a constant stress drop. In model CL, introduced in this article, the fault length for
paleoevents is defined by the along-strike length over which the observations have
been correlated; width and slip are interpolated from model CA14. CA12a and CA12b
show large scatter compared with the global compilation because of large variations in
slip for a given area. Models CA14 and CL reproduce the relationship derived for
asperities (defined as patches in finite-fault models with slip >1:5 times the average
slip). These models can be reconciled with the total area and average slip from Somerville
et al. (2015) by increasing the fault area and decreasing the slip using scaling
factors derived from the analysis of recent earthquakes (CLmod1) or by reducing the
slip by a factor of ∼8 (CLmod2). CLmod1 implies that the paleoearthquake observations
are controlled by high-slip patches, whereas CLmod2 implies that much of the
plate tectonic convergence is accommodated aseismically. A scenario intermediate
between CLmod1 and CLmod2 is considered most likely. This study demonstrates the
value of using scaling relationships based on modern earthquakes as a tool for evaluating
earthquake histories derived from paleoseismic data.
Genre Article
Identifier Tréhu, A. M. (2016). Source Parameter Scaling and the Cascadia Paleoseismic Record. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 106(3), 904-911. doi:10.1785/0120150272

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