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Comparative Institutional Advantage in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

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Title Comparative Institutional Advantage in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis
Names Johnston, Alison (creator)
Hancké, Bob (creator)
Pant, Suman (creator)
Date Issued 2014-11 (iso8601)
Note This is an author's peer-reviewed final manuscript, as accepted by the publisher. The published article is copyrighted by the author(s) and published by SAGE Publications. It can be found at: http://cps.sagepub.com/
Abstract Excessive fiscal spending is commonly cited as a root of the current European debt
crisis. This paper suggests, like others, that the rise of competitiveness imbalances contributing
to national imbalances in total borrowing are a better explanation for systemic differences
towards EMU countries’ exposure to market speculation. We identify one driver of this
divergence: a country’s capacity to limit sheltered sector wage growth, relative to wage growth
in the manufacturing sector. Corporatist institutions which linked sectoral wage developments
together in the surplus countries provided those with a comparative wage advantage vis-à-vis
EMU’s debtor nations, which helps explain why the EMU core has emerged relatively unscathed
from market speculation during the crisis despite the poor fiscal performance of some of the core
countries during EMU’s early years. Using a panel regression analysis, we demonstrate that
rising differentials between public and manufacturing sector wage growth, and wage governance
institutions which weakly coordinate exposed and sheltered sectors, are significantly correlated
with export decline. We also find that weak governance institutions are significantly associated
with more prominent export decline inside as opposed to outside a monetary union.
Genre Article
Topic European Monetary Union
Identifier Johnston, A., Hancké, B., & Pant, S. (2014). Comparative institutional advantage in the European sovereign debt crisis. Comparative Political Studies, 47(13), 1771-1800, doi:10.1177/0010414013516917

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