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Integrating Temperature-Dependent Life Table Data into a Matrix Projection Model for Drosophila suzukii Population Estimation

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Title Integrating Temperature-Dependent Life Table Data into a Matrix Projection Model for Drosophila suzukii Population Estimation
Names Wiman, Nik G. (creator)
Walton, Vaughn M. (creator)
Dalton, Daniel T. (creator)
Miller, Betsey (creator)
Tochen, Samantha (creator)
et al. (creator)
Date Issued 2014-09-05 (iso8601)
Note This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the author(s) and published by the Public Library of Science. The published article can be found at: http://www.plosone.org/.
Abstract Temperature-dependent fecundity and survival data was integrated into a matrix population model to describe relative
Drosophila suzukii Matsumura (Diptera: Drosophilidae) population increase and age structure based on environmental
conditions. This novel modification of the classic Leslie matrix population model is presented as a way to examine how
insect populations interact with the environment, and has application as a predictor of population density. For D. suzukii, we
examined model implications for pest pressure on crops. As case studies, we examined model predictions in three small
fruit production regions in the United States (US) and one in Italy. These production regions have distinctly different
climates. In general, patterns of adult D. suzukii trap activity broadly mimicked seasonal population levels predicted by the
model using only temperature data. Age structure of estimated populations suggest that trap and fruit infestation data are
of limited value and are insufficient for model validation. Thus, we suggest alternative experiments for validation. The model
is advantageous in that it provides stage-specific population estimation, which can potentially guide management
strategies and provide unique opportunities to simulate stage-specific management effects such as insecticide applications
or the effect of biological control on a specific life-stage. The two factors that drive initiation of the model are suitable
temperatures (biofix) and availability of a suitable host medium (fruit). Although there are many factors affecting population
dynamics of D. suzukii in the field, temperature-dependent survival and reproduction are believed to be the main drivers for
D. suzukii populations.
Genre Article
Access Condition http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/us/
Identifier Wiman, N. G., Walton, V. M., Dalton, D. T., Anfora, G., Burrack, H. J., et al. (2014). Integrating Temperature-Dependent Life Table Data into a Matrix Projection Model for Drosophila suzukii Population Estimation. PLoS ONE, 9(9), e106909. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0106909

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