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Predicting foundation bunchgrass species abundances: model-assisted decision-making in protected-area sagebrush steppe

ScholarsArchive at Oregon State University

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Title Predicting foundation bunchgrass species abundances: model-assisted decision-making in protected-area sagebrush steppe
Names Rodhouse, Thomas J. (creator)
Irvine, Kathryn M. (creator)
Sheley, Roger L. (creator)
Smith, Brenda S. (creator)
Hoh, Shirley (creator)
Esposito, Daniel M. (creator)
Mata-Gonzalez, Ricardo (creator)
Date Issued 2014-09 (iso8601)
Note To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the author(s) and published by the Ecological Society of America. The published article can be found at: http://www.esajournals.org/loi/ecsp.
Abstract Foundation species are structurally dominant members of ecological communities that can
stabilize ecological processes and influence resilience to disturbance and resistance to invasion. Being
common, they are often overlooked for conservation but are increasingly threatened from land use change,
biological invasions, and over-exploitation. The pattern of foundation species abundances over space and
time may be used to guide decision-making, particularly in protected areas for which they are iconic. We
used ordinal logistic regression to identify the important environmental influences on the abundance
patterns of bluebunch wheatgrass (Pseudoroegneria spicata), Thurber’s needlegrass (Achnatherum thurberianum),
and Sandberg bluegrass (Poa secunda) in protected-area sagebrush steppe. We then predicted
bunchgrass abundances along gradients of topography, disturbance, and invasive annual grass abundance.
We used model predictions to prioritize the landscape for implementation of a management and
restoration decision-support tool. Models were fit to categorical estimates of grass cover obtained from an
extensive ground-based monitoring dataset. We found that remnant stands of abundant wheatgrass and
bluegrass were associated with steep north-facing slopes in higher and more remote portions of the
landscape outside of recently burned areas where invasive annual grasses were less abundant. These areas
represented only 25% of the landscape and were prioritized for protection efforts. Needlegrass was
associated with south-facing slopes, but in low abundance and in association with invasive cheatgrass
(Bromus tectorum). Abundances of all three species were strongly negatively correlated with occurrence of
another invasive annual grass, medusahead (Taeniatherum caput-medusae). The rarity of priority bunchgrass
stands underscored the extent of degradation and the need for prioritization. We found no evidence that
insularity reduced invasibility; annual grass invasion represents a serious threat to protected-area
bunchgrass communities. Our study area was entirely within the Wyoming big sagebrush ecological zone,
understood to have inherently low resilience to disturbance and resistance to weed invasion. However, our
study revealed important variation in abundance of the foundation species associated with resilience and
resistance along the topographic-soil moisture gradient within this zone, providing an important foothold
for conservation decision-making in these steppe ecosystems. We found the foundation species focus a
parsimonious strategy linking monitoring to decision-making via biogeographic modeling.
Genre Article
Access Condition http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/us/
Topic Achnatherum thurberianum
Identifier Rodhouse, T. J., Irvine, K. M., Sheley, R. L., Smith, B. S., Hoh, S., Esposito, D. M., & Mata-Gonzalez, R. (2014). Predicting foundation bunchgrass species abundances: model-assisted decision-making in protected-area sagebrush steppe. Ecosphere, 5(9), art108. doi:10.1890/ES14-00169.1

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