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Long-Term Citizen-Collected Data Reveal Geographical Patterns and Temporal Trends in Lake Water Clarity

ScholarsArchive at Oregon State University

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Title Long-Term Citizen-Collected Data Reveal Geographical Patterns and Temporal Trends in Lake Water Clarity
Names Lottig, Noah R. (creator)
Wagner, Tyler (creator)
Henry, Emily Norton (creator)
et al. (creator)
Date Issued 2014-04-30 (iso8601)
Note To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The article was published by the Public Library of Science and is in the public domain. The published article can be found at: http://www.plosone.org/.
Abstract We compiled a lake-water clarity database using publically available, citizen volunteer observations made between 1938
and 2012 across eight states in the Upper Midwest, USA. Our objectives were to determine (1) whether temporal trends in
lake-water clarity existed across this large geographic area and (2) whether trends were related to the lake-specific
characteristics of latitude, lake size, or time period the lake was monitored. Our database consisted of >140,000 individual
Secchi observations from 3,251 lakes that we summarized per lake-year, resulting in 21,020 summer averages. Using
Bayesian hierarchical modeling, we found approximately a 1% per year increase in water clarity (quantified as Secchi depth)
for the entire population of lakes. On an individual lake basis, 7% of lakes showed increased water clarity and 4% showed
decreased clarity. Trend direction and strength were related to latitude and median sample date. Lakes in the southern part
of our study-region had lower average annual summer water clarity, more negative long-term trends, and greater interannual
variability in water clarity compared to northern lakes. Increasing trends were strongest for lakes with median
sample dates earlier in the period of record (1938–2012). Our ability to identify specific mechanisms for these trends is
currently hampered by the lack of a large, multi-thematic database of variables that drive water clarity (e.g., climate, land
use/cover). Our results demonstrate, however, that citizen science can provide the critical monitoring data needed to
address environmental questions at large spatial and long temporal scales. Collaborations among citizens, research
scientists, and government agencies may be important for developing the data sources and analytical tools necessary to
move toward an understanding of the factors influencing macro-scale patterns such as those shown here for lake water
clarity.
Genre Article
Access Condition http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
Identifier Lottig, N. R., Wagner, T., Henry E. N., Cheruvelil K. S., Webster K. E., et al. (2014) Long-Term Citizen-Collected Data Reveal Geographical Patterns and Temporal Trends in Lake Water Clarity. PLoS ONE 9(4): e95769. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0095769

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