Record Details
Field | Value |
---|---|
Title | Process-Based Modeling to Assess the Effects of Recent Climatic Variation on Site Productivity and Forest Function across Western North America |
Names |
Waring, Richard H.
(creator) Coops, Nicholas C. (creator) Mathys, Amanda (creator) Hilker, Thomas (creator) Latta, Greg (creator) |
Date Issued | 2014-03-24 (iso8601) |
Note | This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the author(s) and published by MDPI. The published article can be found at: http://www.mdpi.com/journal/forests. |
Abstract | A process-based forest growth model, 3-PG (Physiological Principles Predicting Growth), parameterized with values of soil properties constrained by satellite-derived estimates of maximum leaf area index (LAI[subscript max]), was run for Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) to contrast the extent to which site growth potential might vary across western North America between a cool, wet period (1950–1975) and a more recent, generally warmer and drier one (2000–2009). LAI[subscript max] represents a surrogate for overall site growth potential, as demonstrated from a strong correlation between the two variables, with the latter based on the culmination of mean annual increment estimates made at 3356 ground-based U.S. Forest Service survey plots across the states of Oregon and Washington. Results indicate that since 2000, predicted LAI[subscript max] has decreased more than 20% in portions of the Southwest USA and for much of the forested area in western Alberta. Similar percentage increases in LAI[subscript max] were predicted for parts of British Columbia, Idaho and Montana. The modeling analysis included an assessment of changes in seasonal constraints on gross primary production (GPP). A general reduction in limitations caused by spring frost occurred across the entire study area. This has led to a longer growing season, along with notable increases in summer evaporative demand and soil drought for much of the study area away from the maritime influence of the Pacific Ocean. |
Genre | Article |
Access Condition | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/us/ |
Topic | Climate change |
Identifier | Waring RH, Coops NC, Mathys A, Hilker T, Latta G. (2014). Process-Based Modeling to Assess the Effects of Recent Climatic Variation on Site Productivity and Forest Function across Western North America. Forests, 5(3):518-534. doi:10.3390/f5030518 |