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Models of presence-absence estimate abundance as well as (or even better than) models of abundance: the case of the butterfly Parnassius apollo

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Title Models of presence-absence estimate abundance as well as (or even better than) models of abundance: the case of the butterfly Parnassius apollo
Names Gutiérrez, David (creator)
Harcourt, Jennifer (creator)
Díez, Sonia B. (creator)
Gutiérrez Illán, Javier (creator)
Wilson, Robert J. (creator)
Date Issued 2013-03-01 (iso8601)
Note This is an author's peer-reviewed final manuscript, as accepted by the publisher. The published article is copyrighted by Springer and can be found at: http://link.springer.com/journal/10980.
Abstract Models relating species distribution records to environmental variables are increasingly
applied to biodiversity conservation. Such techniques could be valuable to predict the
distribution, abundance or habitat requirements of species that are rare or otherwise difficult
to survey. However, despite widely-documented positive intraspecific relationships between
occupancy and abundance, few studies have demonstrated convincing associations between
models of habitat suitability based on species occurrence, and observed measures of habitat
quality such as abundance. Here we compared models based on field-derived abundance and
distribution (presence-absence) data for a rare mountain butterfly in 2006-08. Both model
types selected consistent effects of environmental variables, which corresponded to known
ecological associations of the species, suggesting that abundance and distribution may be a
function of similar factors. However, the models based on occurrence data identified stronger
effects of a smaller number of environmental variables, indicating less uncertainty in the
factors controlling distribution. Furthermore, cross-validation of the models using observed
abundance data from different years, or averaged across years, suggested a marginally
stronger ability of models based on occurrence data to predict observed abundance. The
results suggest that, for some species, distribution models could be efficient tools for
estimating habitat quality in conservation planning or management, when information on
abundance or habitat requirements is costly or impractical to obtain.
Genre Article
Topic Apollo butterfly
Identifier Gutierrez, D., Harcourt, J., Diez, S. B., Gutierrez Illan, J., & Wilson, R. J. (2013). Models of presence-absence estimate abundance as well as (or even better than) models of abundance: The case of the butterfly parnassius apollo. Landscape Ecology, 28(3), 401-413. doi:10.1007/s10980-013-9847-3

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