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Mapping change of older forest with nearest-neighbor imputation and Landsat time-series

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Title Mapping change of older forest with nearest-neighbor imputation and Landsat time-series
Names Ohmann, Janet L. (creator)
Gregory, Matthew J. (creator)
Roberts, Heather M. (creator)
Cohen, Warren B. (creator)
Kennedy, Robert E. (creator)
Yang, Zhiqiang (creator)
Date Issued 2011-11-01 (iso8601)
Note To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work.
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Abstract The Northwest Forest Plan (NWFP), which aims to conserve late-successional and old-growth forests
(older forests) and associated species, established new policies on federal lands in the Pacific Northwest
USA. As part of monitoring for the NWFP, we tested nearest-neighbor imputation for mapping change in
older forest, defined by threshold values for forest attributes that vary with forest succession. We mapped
forest conditions on >19 millionha of forest for the beginning (Time 1) and end (Time 2) of a 13-year period
using gradient nearest neighbor (GNN) imputation. Reference data were basal area by species and size
class from 17,000 forest inventory plots measured from 1993 to 2008. Spatial predictors were from Landsat
time-series and GIS data on climate, topography, parent material, and location. The Landsat data were
temporally normalized at the pixel level using LandTrendr algorithms, which minimized year-to-year
spectral variability and provided seamless multi-scene mosaics. We mapped older forest change by spatially
differencing the Time 1 and Time 2 GNN maps for average tree size (MNDBH) and for old-growth
structure index (OGSI), a composite index of stand age, large live trees and snags, down wood, and diversity
of tree sizes. Forests with higher values of MNDBH and OGSI occurred disproportionately on federal
lands. Estimates of older forest area and change varied with definition. About 10% of forest at Time 2 had
OGSI ≥50, with a net loss of about 4% over the period. Considered spatially, gross gain and gross loss of
older forest were much greater than net change. As definition threshold value increased, absolute area
of mapped change decreased, but increased as a percentage of older forest at Time 1. Pixel-level change
was noisy, but change summarized to larger spatial units compared reasonably to known changes. Geographic
patterns of older forest loss coincided with areas mapped as disturbed by LandTrendr, including
large wildfires on federal lands and timber harvests on nonfederal lands. The GNN distribution of older
forest attributes closely represented the range of variation observed from a systematic plot sample. Validation
using expert image interpretation of an independent plot sample in TimeSync corroborated forest
changes from GNN. An advantage of imputed maps is their flexibility for post-classification, summary,
and rescaling to address a range of objectives. Our methods for characterizing forest conditions and
dynamics over large regions, and for describing the reliability of the information, should help inform
the debate over conservation and management of older forest.
Genre Article
Topic Gradient nearest neighbor
Identifier Ohmann, J., Gregory, M., Roberts, H., Cohen, W., Kennedy, R., & Yang, Z. (2012). Mapping change of older forest with nearest-neighbor imputation and landsat time-series. Forest Ecology and Management, 272, 13-25. doi: 10.1016/j.foreco.2011.09.021

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