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Last interglacial model-data mismatch of thermal maximum temperatures partially explained

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Title Last interglacial model-data mismatch of thermal maximum temperatures partially explained
Names Bakker, P. (creator)
Renssen, H. (creator)
Date Issued 2014-08-29 (iso8601)
Note This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the author(s) and published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union. The published article can be found at: http://www.climate-of-the-past.net/home.html.
Abstract The timing of the last interglacial (LIG) thermal
maximum across the globe remains to be precisely assessed.
Because of difficulties in establishing a common temporal
framework between records from different palaeoclimatic
archives retrieved from various places around the globe, it
has not yet been possible to reconstruct spatio-temporal variations
in the occurrence of the maximum warmth across
the globe. Instead, snapshot reconstructions of warmest LIG
conditions have been presented, which have an underlying
assumption that maximum warmth occurred synchronously
everywhere. Although known to be an oversimplification, the
impact of this assumption on temperature estimates has yet
to be assessed. We use the LIG temperature evolutions simulated
by nine different climate models to investigate whether
the assumption of synchronicity results in a sizeable overestimation
of the LIG thermal maximum. We find that for annual
temperatures, the overestimation is small, strongly model-dependent
(global mean 0.4 ± 0.3°C) and cannot explain
the recently published 0.67°C difference between simulated
and reconstructed annual mean temperatures during the LIG
thermal maximum. However, if one takes into consideration
that temperature proxies are possibly biased towards
summer, the overestimation of the LIG thermal maximum
based on warmest month temperatures is non-negligible with
a global mean of 1.1 ± 0.4°C.
Genre Article
Access Condition http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/us/
Identifier Bakker, P., & Renssen, H. (2014). Last Interglacial model-data mismatch of thermal maximum temperatures partially explained. Climate of the Past, 10(4), 1633-1644. doi:10.5194/cp-10-1633-2014

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