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Changing forest water yields in response to climate warming: results from long-term experimental watershed sites across North America

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Title Changing forest water yields in response to climate warming: results from long-term experimental watershed sites across North America
Names Creed, Irena F. (creator)
Spargo, Adam T. (creator)
Jones, Julia A. (creator)
et al. (creator)
Date Issued 2014-10 (iso8601)
Note To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the author(s) and published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. The published article can be found at: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/%28ISSN%291365-2486.
Abstract Climate warming is projected to affect forest water yields but the effects are expected to vary. We investigated how forest
type and age affect water yield resilience to climate warming. To answer this question, we examined the variability in historical
water yields at long-term experimental catchments across Canada and the United States over 5-year cool and
warm periods. Using the theoretical framework of the Budyko curve, we calculated the effects of climate warming on the
annual partitioning of precipitation (P) into evapotranspiration (ET) and water yield. Deviation (d) was defined as a catchment’s
change in actual ET divided by P [AET/P; evaporative index (EI)] coincident with a shift from a cool to a warm
period – a positive d indicates an upward shift in EI and smaller than expected water yields, and a negative d indicates a
downward shift in EI and larger than expected water yields. Elasticity was defined as the ratio of interannual variation in
potential ET divided by P (PET/P; dryness index) to interannual variation in the EI – high elasticity indicates low d
despite large range in drying index (i.e., resilient water yields), low elasticity indicates high d despite small range in drying
index (i.e., nonresilient water yields). Although the data needed to fully evaluate ecosystems based on these metrics
are limited, we were able to identify some characteristics of response among forest types. Alpine sites showed the greatest
sensitivity to climate warming with any warming leading to increased water yields. Conifer forests included catchments
with lowest elasticity and stable to larger water yields. Deciduous forests included catchments with intermediate elasticity
and stable to smaller water yields. Mixed coniferous/deciduous forests included catchments with highest elasticity and
stable water yields. Forest type appeared to influence the resilience of catchment water yields to climate warming, with
conifer and deciduous catchments more susceptible to climate warming than the more diverse mixed forest catchments.
Genre Article
Access Condition http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/us/
Topic Budyko curve
Identifier Creed, I. F., Spargo, A. T., Jones, J. A., Buttle, J. M., Adams, M. B., Beall, F. D., ... & Yao, H. (2014). Changing forest water yields in response to climate warming: Results from long‐term experimental watershed sites across North America. Global Change Biology, 20(10), 3191-3208. doi:10.1111/gcb.12615

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