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Reconstructing Source-Sink Dynamics in a Population with a Pelagic Dispersal Phase

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Title Reconstructing Source-Sink Dynamics in a Population with a Pelagic Dispersal Phase
Names Chen, Kun (creator)
Ciannelli, Lorenzo (creator)
Decker, Mary Beth (creator)
Ladd, Carol (creator)
Cheng, Wei (creator)
Zhou, Ziqian (creator)
Chan, Kung-Sik (creator)
Date Issued 2014-05-16 (iso8601)
Note To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the author(s) and published by the Public Library of Science. The published article can be found at: http://www.plosone.org/.
Abstract For many organisms, the reconstruction of source-sink dynamics is hampered by limited knowledge of the spatial
assemblage of either the source or sink components or lack of information on the strength of the linkage for any source-sink
pair. In the case of marine species with a pelagic dispersal phase, these problems may be mitigated through the use of
particle drift simulations based on an ocean circulation model. However, when simulated particle trajectories do not
intersect sampling sites, the corroboration of model drift simulations with field data is hampered. Here, we apply a new
statistical approach for reconstructing source-sink dynamics that overcomes the aforementioned problems. Our research is
motivated by the need for understanding observed changes in jellyfish distributions in the eastern Bering Sea since 1990. By
contrasting the source-sink dynamics reconstructed with data from the pre-1990 period with that from the post-1990
period, it appears that changes in jellyfish distribution resulted from the combined effects of higher jellyfish productivity
and longer dispersal of jellyfish resulting from a shift in the ocean circulation starting in 1991. A sensitivity analysis suggests
that the source-sink reconstruction is robust to typical systematic and random errors in the ocean circulation model driving
the particle drift simulations. The jellyfish analysis illustrates that new insights can be gained by studying structural changes
in source-sink dynamics. The proposed approach is applicable for the spatial source-sink reconstruction of other species and
even abiotic processes, such as sediment transport.
Genre Article
Access Condition http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/us/
Identifier Chen K, Ciannelli L, Decker MB, Ladd C, Cheng W, et al. (2014). Reconstructing Source-Sink Dynamics in a Population with a Pelagic Dispersal Phase. PLoS ONE 9(5): e95316. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0095316

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