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Modeling the effect of glacier recession on streamflow response using a coupled glacio-hydrological model

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Title Modeling the effect of glacier recession on streamflow response using a coupled glacio-hydrological model
Names Naz, B. S. (creator)
Frans, C. D. (creator)
Clarke, G. K. C. (creator)
Burns, Patrick J. (Patrick Joseph) (creator)
Lettenmaier, D. P. (creator)
Date Issued 2014-02-27 (iso8601)
Note This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the author(s) and published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union. The published article can be found at: http://www.hydrology-and-earth-system-sciences.net/home.html.
Abstract We describe an integrated spatially distributed hydrologic
and glacier dynamic model, and use it to investigate
the effect of glacier recession on streamflow variations
for the upper Bow River basin, a tributary of the South
Saskatchewan River, Alberta, Canada. Several recent studies
have suggested that observed decreases in summer flows in
the South Saskatchewan River are partly due to the retreat
of glaciers in the river’s headwaters. Modeling the effect of
glacier changes on streamflow response in river basins such
as the South Saskatchewan is complicated due to the inability
of most existing physically based distributed hydrologic
models to represent glacier dynamics. We compare predicted
variations in glacier extent, snow water equivalent (SWE),
and streamflow discharge with satellite estimates of glacier
area and terminus position, observed glacier mass balance,
observed streamflow and snow water-equivalent measurements,
respectively over the period of 1980–2007. Observations
of multiple hydroclimatic variables compare well with
those simulated with the coupled hydrology-glacier model.
Our results suggest that, on average, the glacier melt contribution
to the Bow River flow upstream of Lake Louise is approximately
22% in summer. For warm and dry years, however,
the glacier melt contribution can be as large as 47% in
August, whereas for cold years, it can be as small as 15%
and the timing of the glacier melt signature can be delayed
by a month. The development of this modeling approach sets
the stage for future predictions of the influence of warming
climate on streamflow in partially glacierized watersheds.
Genre Article
Access Condition http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/us/
Identifier Naz, B. S., Frans, C. D., Clarke, G. K. C., Burns, P., and Lettenmaier, D. P. (2014). Modeling the effect of glacier recession on streamflow response using a coupled glacio-hydrological model, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18, 787-802. doi:10.5194/hess-18-787-2014

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