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Modeling the connectivity of Juan Fernandez rock lobster (Jasus frontalis), subpopulations through a biophysical model

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Title Modeling the connectivity of Juan Fernandez rock lobster (Jasus frontalis), subpopulations through a biophysical model
Names Porobić, Javier (creator)
Parada, Carolina (creator)
Ernst, Billy (creator)
Hormazábal, Samuel E. (creator)
Combes, Vincent (creator)
Date Issued 2012 (iso8601)
Note This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Valparaiso and can be found at: http://lajar.cl/.
Abstract Located approximately 360 nm off the coast of Chile there is a disjoint realm of two small
oceanic islands systems, the Juan Fernández and the Desventuradas archipelago. Currently the local economy
of the islands is almost exclusively supported by the harvest and trade of marine resources, focusing mainly on
the exploitation of the rock lobster (Jasus frontalis). This endemic species is distributed in both archipelagos,
forming a metapopulation, whose population structure and dynamic is modulated by oceanographic forcing,
especially during its extended planktonic larval phase. The population structure and the conection-retention
within and between islands was assessed, based on the use of coupled biophysical model (the hidrodynamics
model OFES and an individual-based model of J. frontalis). The analysis of the hydrodynamic model
predictions showed the presence of mesoscale structures associated with the islands systems. The simulation
results indicated significant levels of connectivity-retention within and between island systems showing also a strong interannual variation of these. Biophysical modeling results indicated that recruitment varibility
associated with the Juan Fernández archipelago depends mainly on larvae originated within this system, which
as well will contribute with recruits to the Desventuradas archipelago. The sensitivity analysis of the
biophysical model to identify the potential biophysical forcing of the dependent variables of the model (e.g.
connectivity-retention index), resulted in that temporal and spatial patterns reproductive larval stage duration
and season (year) are highly significant factors. Finally, a metapopulation structure for J. frontalis, with a high
level of connectivity in the archipelago of Juan Fernandez and a considerable amount of larvae in the
Desventuradas islands is proposed. These fluxes are determined mainly by the coupling between prevailing
biological and oceanographic factors.
Genre Article
Topic Juan Fernández rock lobster
Identifier Porobic, J., Parada, C., Ernst, B., Hormazabal, S., & Combes, V. (2012). Modeling the connectivity of juan fernandez rock lobster (jasus frontalis), subpopulations through a biophysical model. Latin American Journal of Aquatic Research, 40(3), 613-632. doi:10.3856/vol40-issue3-fulltext-11

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