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Coupling snowpack and groundwater dynamics to interpret historical streamflow trends in the western United States

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Title Coupling snowpack and groundwater dynamics to interpret historical streamflow trends in the western United States
Names Safeeq, Mohammad (creator)
Grant, Gordon E. (creator)
Lewis, Sarah L. (creator)
Tague, Christina. L. (creator)
Date Issued 2013-01-04 (iso8601)
Note To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work.
The published article is copyrighted by Wiley-Blackwell and can be found at: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/.
Abstract A key challenge for resource and land managers is predicting the consequences of climate warming on streamflow and water
resources. During the last century in the western United States, significant reductions in snowpack and earlier snowmelt have led
to an increase in the fraction of annual streamflow during winter and a decline in the summer. Previous work has identified
elevation as it relates to snowpack dynamics as the primary control on streamflow sensitivity to warming. But along with changes
in the timing of snowpack accumulation and melt, summer streamflows are also sensitive to intrinsic, geologically mediated
differences in the efficiency of landscapes in transforming recharge (either as rain or snow) into discharge; we term this latter
factor drainage efficiency. Here we explore the conjunction of drainage efficiency and snowpack dynamics in interpreting
retrospective trends in summer streamflow during 1950–2010 using daily streamflow from 81 watersheds across the western
United States. The recession constant (k) and fraction of precipitation falling as snow (S[subscript f]) were used as metrics of deep
groundwater and overall precipitation regime (rain and/or snow), respectively. This conjunctive analysis indicates that summer
streamflows in watersheds that drain slowly from deep groundwater and receive precipitation as snow are most sensitive to
climate warming. During the spring, however, watersheds that drain rapidly and receive precipitation as snow are most sensitive
to climate warming. Our results indicate that not all trends in western United States are associated with changes in snowpack
dynamics; we observe declining streamflow in late fall and winter in rain-dominated watersheds as well. These empirical findings
support both theory and hydrologic modelling and have implications for how streamflow sensitivity to warming is interpreted
across broad regions. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Genre Article
Topic Streamflow trend
Identifier Safeeq, M., Grant, G. E., Lewis, S. L., & Tague, C. L. (2013). Coupling snowpack and groundwater dynamics to interpret historical streamflow trends in the western united states. Hydrological Processes, 27(5), 655-668. doi: 10.1002/hyp.9628

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