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Borehole temperatures and tree rings: Seasonality and estimates of extratropical Northern Hemispheric warming

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Title Borehole temperatures and tree rings: Seasonality and estimates of extratropical Northern Hemispheric warming
Names Harris, Robert N. (creator)
Chapman, David S. (creator)
Date Issued 2005-10-14 (iso8601)
Note Copyrighted by American Geophysical Union.
Abstract We construct an extratropical reduced temperature–depth profile for land areas north
of 20°N latitude from the global borehole temperature database compiled for climate
reconstruction. The mean reduced temperature profile compares well with a time series
constructed from an initial baseline temperature (0.6° ± 0.1°C) and the last 140 years
of gridded annual surface air temperature data diffused into the ground. This analysis
yields a root-mean-square misfit of only 15 mK and indicates warming of 1.1°C over the
past 500 years. In contrast, a tree ring analysis from the same area (Briffa et al., 2001)
indicates considerably less warming over the same time period. The recognition that
tree rings correlate most strongly with warm season temperatures (April–September),
while boreholes reflect annual temperatures, offers an explanation for the discrepancy in
warming estimates. This analysis yields a reconstruction of surface temperature over the
past 500 years that is consistent with both the borehole and tree ring analysis and also
provides an estimate of long-term cold season temperature. We estimate that continental
extratropical Northern Hemisphere annual and cold season (October–March) temperatures
have warmed by 0.2° ± 0.1°C and 0.3° ± 0.3°C, respectively, between 1500 and
1856, prior to the start of the instrumental surface air temperature record.
Genre Article
Topic climate change
Identifier Harris , R. N. and D. S. Chapman (2005), Borehole temperatures and tree rings: Seasonality and estimates of extratropical Northern Hemispheric warming, J. Geophys. Res., 110, F04003.

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